NHL Playoffs Game Charts – May 3

 

There were three games in the NHL last night. The Isles blew two third period leads, the Predators pried a victory away from the Sharks, and Tarasenko led the Blues’ blasting of the Stars as St. Louis hosted Tony X’s first live hockey game.

Before we start, a few words on reading the Corsi differential game charts…

A couple of notes on reading the charts:

  • the Corsi differential is based on 5v5 play and is score-adjusted, as per war-on-ice.
  • players at the top (with bars extending to the right) posted positive differentials (good)
  • players at the bottom (and to the left) posted negative differentials (bad)
  • the colour of each bar represents the player’s time on ice (see legend at the bottom)
  • each players individual Corsi For attempts are included in parentheses
    • a player with a strong C +/- but a (0) for iCF didn’t directly contribute to his strong showing.
    • a player with a weak C +/- but a strong iCF score (i.e. greater than 5) may have been hindered by linemates. Maybe.
  • like any reasonable person, I don’t believe that Corsi is everything. But it’s a very important part of the everything.

 

On with the charts…

Dashboard 1 (79)

Killorn led all and Filppula, Coburn, and Hedman were also strong for the Lightning. Martin and Clutterbuck were the best for the Isles and that’s highly strange. Drouin and Sustr continue their run of positive puck possession play in the playoffs.

Hedman led all with 7 iCF. He isn’t always mentioned among the game’s top defensemen but he deserves to be.

At the other end of the chart, the Isles owned the bottom-seven Corsi differentials for the game, which has become their standard. Prince and Nelson struggled most, each finishing worse than -10.

Without mind-bending save or shooting percentages, the Isles poor possession play is bound to sink them.

Lightning lead 2-1.

 

Dashboard 1 (80)

In addition to being a slick sniper with quick-strike offensive abilities, Tarasenko is Ovechkin-like in his iCF production. He led all skaters with 9 iCF in this one and posted the game’s best Corsi differential overall. Edmundson was solid (again) and Lehtera was strong.

Sharp, Eakin, and Klingberg were the best for the Stars. Benn and Russell also finished on the positive side of the Corsi differential in this one.

At the bottom of the game chart, the two teams mixed together. Berglund was worst, Roussel was close behind, and Oduya, Hemsky, Johns, Bouwmeester, and Pietrangelo followed.

Overall, the all-situations Corsi battle was close in this game, which highlights the Stars’ great weakness in net.

Blues lead 2-1.

 

Dashboard 1 (81)

Fisher was the game’s best, followed closely by Wilson. Smith, Forsberg, and Jackman were near the top as well. For the Sharks, Dillon and Braun were best. The best Corsi +/- in this game was a +6, showing just how tight the puck battle was in this game.

At the other end of the chart, Brent Burns stands alone as the game’s worst. He posted a ~-10 Corsi +/-. This is an extremely rare occurrence as Burns is one of the game’s best at producing iCF and strong differentials overall. Don’t expect to see his name this low again.

Sharks lead 2-1.


Read more…

NHL Playoffs Game Charts – Monday, May 2

NHL Playoffs Game Charts – Sunday, May 1

NHL Playoffs Predictions – Round 2

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